Getting quite a few questions on my view of the final Presidential debate. Here’s my assessment….
I think it was probably Obama on perceived experience though he distorted his record and Mitt’s continually. I think however that whatever Obama gained on points, he lost on condescension and snarkiness. He really showed stunning contempt for Romney and that didn’t go down well with a lot of folks and I think particularly with Women who now only prefer Obama by 8% which is a huge shift from 2008.
My personal opinion – if the election was today, Obama wins in a squeaker. However, momentum is on Mitt’s side. The next 48 hours will show whether or not momentum is slowed, stopped or reversed – in the event any of those happen – it’s edge to Obama in a cliffhanger. If it isn’t, then Mitt wins – but I have no idea how big.
I can’t figure out what is going on with the polls. Gallup – historically liberal – has Romney up by 6-7 every day. If that is accurate – Romney wins comfortably. All the other polls – even the conservative Rasmussen Poll – has it as a tie. Tie goes to Obama because of the electoral college. It’s quite possible/probable that Romney wins the popular vote while Obama wins the electoral vote.
90% chance of whoever wins Ohio becomes the next Prez. If Obama takes Ohio, Romney must thread a needle with a very small eye – having to win NH, IA, CO and WI to get to 270 (assuming he wins Virginia and Florida.)
Anyway you look at it – we’re going to have a VERY divided country on November 7th.
And THAT’S today’s political report…..Now back to the real world! LOL. J